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~person:"Wolfers, Justin"
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Wolfers, Justin
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Interpreting prediction market prices as probabilities
Wolfers, Justin
(
contributor
);
Zitzewitz, Eric
(
contributor
)
-
2006
-
Rev.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726889
Saved in:
2
Interpreting prediction market prices as probabilities
Wolfers, Justin
;
Zitzewitz, Eric
-
2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003321634
Saved in:
3
Interpreting prediction market prices as probabilities
Wolfers, Justin
(
contributor
);
Zitzewitz, Eric
(
contributor
)
-
2006
While most empirical analysis of prediction markets treats prices of binary options as predictions of the probability of future events, Manski (2004) has recently argued that there is little existing theory supporting this practice. We provide relevant analytic foundations, describing sufficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003310964
Saved in:
4
Interpreting prediction market prices as probabilities
Wolfers, Justin
;
Zitzewitz, Eric
-
2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003330787
Saved in:
5
Interpreting prediction market prices as probabilities
Wolfers, Justin
(
contributor
);
Zitzewitz, Eric
(
contributor
)
-
2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003417779
Saved in:
6
Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
Wolfers, Justin
-
2006
While most empirical analysis of prediction markets treats prices of binary options as predictions of the probability of future events, Manski (2004) has recently argued that there is little existing theory supporting this practice. We provide relevant analytic foundations, describing sufficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012780189
Saved in:
7
Prediction Markets
Wolfers, Justin
-
2010
We analyze the extent to which simple markets can be used to aggregate disperse information into efficient forecasts of uncertain future events. Drawing together data from a range of prediction contexts, we show that market-generated forecasts are typically fairly accurate, and that they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762625
Saved in:
8
Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
Wolfers, Justin
-
2006
While most empirical analysis of prediction markets treats prices of binary options as predictions of the probability of future events, Manski (2004) has recently argued that there is little existing theory supporting this practice. We provide relevant analytic foundations, describing sufficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466468
Saved in:
9
Prediction Markets
Wolfers, Justin
-
2004
We analyze the extent to which simple markets can be used to aggregate disperse information into efficient forecasts of uncertain future events. Drawing together data from a range of prediction contexts, we show that market-generated forecasts are typically fairly accurate, and that they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468189
Saved in:
10
Predicting Crime
Henderson, M. Todd
;
Wolfers, Justin
;
Zitzewitz, Eric
-
2011
forecast
crime rates and the impact on crime from changes to crime policy, such as resource allocation, policing strategies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218955
Saved in:
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