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Euro-area inflation has been below 1 percent since October 2013, and medium-term inflation expectations are well below … 2 percent. Forecasts of the return to target inflation have proved wrong. The European Central Bank should act … introducing another long-term refinancing operation could be beneficial, but would be unlikely to change substantially inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360433
* Inflation rates can differ across regions of monetary unions. We show that in the euro area, the US, Canada, Japan … and Australia, inflation rates have been substantially and persistently different in different regions. Differences were … particularly substantial in the euro area. Inflation differences can reflect normal adjustment processes such as price convergence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407297
We investigate the effects of government expenditure on private consumption when the private sector anticipates the fiscal shocks. In order to capture anticipation of fiscal policy, we develop a new method based on a structural vector autoregression (SVAR). By simulating data from a theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979802
How does private consumption react to an exogenous increase in government expenditure? Standard structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) usually report a positive GDP as well as consumption response, while event studies report a negative consumption response. We investigate in a SVAR whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991142
impact on area-wide inflation. ‘Every man for himself’ is not an option. But coordination is difficult because it involves 19 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439508
The general macroeconomic situation and weak inflation dynamics justified quantitative easing (QE) in the euro area …. Doubts have emerged about its effectiveness as inflation has remained weak. However, we do not know where inflation would … have been without QE and the still large slack in the economy suggests that inflation might increase only in a few years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509099
to the excessively low inflation and the weak economy? And what economic policy would be suitable under the current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449399
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127397
Europeans like to believe the European Union has the collective economic size and capacity to determine its own economic destiny. But the behaviour of others global powers is increasingly calling this ability into question. China and the United States, especially, do not separate economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025345
The European Union can look ahead at the next five years from a good economic position. Employment is comparatively high, the recovery has been uninterrupted for several years and income inequality remains less pronounced than elsewhere in the world. But the EU faces nevertheless formidable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025374