Financial crises are costly. In the recent crisis in Argentina, for example, from the onset of sovereign debt repayment difficulties at the end of 2000 until the beginning of 2002, real GDP dropped by almost 20%. A simple aggregate growth accounting exercise suggests that a large part of this...

Since 1989, creditor countries have provided debt relief to developing countries worth more than 100 billion US dollars. Prominent lobby groups are campaigning for a further 400 billion US dollars in debt relief to be provided in the near future. How much could developing country’s gain...

We use maximum likelihood techniques to distinguish across models of international capital flows using a comprehensive dataset on GDP, capital stocks, consumption, investment, employment, and net exports (used to measure capital flows) for 200 countries between 1950 and 2005. Specifically, we...

This paper analyzes a general equilibrium model with limited commitment and production. There are a large number of infinitely-lived, risk-averse agents who invest in physical and human capital, and production exhibits constant-returns-to-scale with respect to these two input factors....

Political contributions appear to be subject to an obvious public goods problem. Free riding might be expected to lead to polarization of contributions. We show that it is not true in general. In fact, in the most obvious model, with arbitrary number of candidates, we get a median contributor...

From the end of the SecondWorldWar to the beginning of the Twenty-First Century, per-capita GDP in the economies of East Asia grew almost three times as fast as in the economies of Latin America. Specifically, in 1950, the economies of the Asian Tigers (Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan)...

We develop a macroeconomic model with physical and human capital, human capital risk, and limited contract enforcement. We show analytically that young (high-return) households are the most exposed to human capital risk and are also the least insured. We document this risk-insurance pattern in...

Data on the stock of sovereign debt are typically presented at "face value", defined as the undiscounted sum of future principal repayments. This measure has some obvious problems. As it includes only principal repayments, it can give a misleading depiction of relative indebtedness levels, and...