Trust companies generate leverage cycle dynamics by intermediating less regulated credit to the financial markets in China. We find that the leverage factor constructed from trust companies can explain the time-series and cross-sectional asset returns. The leverage factor derived from securities...

We study how competition for shadow money impacts banking stability. In our model, bankscompete for insured depositors and uninsured shadow money investors and default endogenously.We estimate and calibrate our model to the Chinese banking sector and we find that shadow money investors are...

Using the wealth management products data, we construct a measure that contains substantial information about the supply of shadow credit in China and significant power to predict China’s economic activity. An increase in this measure leads to an increase in economic growth, a reduction in...

Shadow financing through off-balance sheet wealth management products (WMPs) has become increasingly important besides deposits in China. We quantify the economic magnitude of the effect of WMPs on banking stability in an equilibrium model calibrated to Chinese banking sector data. Alternative...