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We perform the longest study of long-run reversal in commodity returns. Using a unique dataset of prices of 52 agricultural, industrial, and energy commodities, we examine the price behavior for the years 1265 to 2017. The findings reveal a strong and robust long-run reversal effect. The returns...
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Are equity anomalies a product of p-hacking in the asset pricing literature? To shed new light on this question, we perform a true out-of-sample study of 30 well-known anomalies in the cross-section of returns. We replicate these anomalies in a novel hand-collected dataset of firms listed on the...
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Interest rate changes typically affect the value of equities. However, the slow movement of investment capital may delay the transmission of this information from interest rate markets to stocks. Using a century of data from sixty countries, we demonstrate that yield curve shifts predict future...
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