In this paper, motivated by existing and growing evidence on multiple macroeconomic volatilities, we extend the long-run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by allowing both a long- and a short-run volatility components in the evolution of economic fundamentals. With this extension, the new...

Stock market predictability is of considerable interest in both academic research and investment practice. Ross (2005) provides a simple and elegant upper bound on the predictive regression R-squared that R^2 = (1 R_f)^2 Var(m) for a given asset pricing model with kernel m, where R_f is the...

We document strong evidence of cross-sectional predictability of corporate bond returns based on a set of yield predictors that capture the information in the yields of past 1, 3, 6, 12, 24, 36 and 48 months. Return predictability is economically and statistically significant, and is robust to...

We show that the conditional risk estimation in the ICAPM model (Merton, 1973) should contain the unspanned uncertainty beyond stock market if the interest rate is not sufficient to describe the dynamic investment state. Borrowing an aggregated uncertainty measure that captures unspanned...

We investigate the effect of ETF ownership on stock market anomalies and market efficiency. We find that low ETF ownership stocks exhibit higher returns, greater Sharpe ratios, and highly significant alphas in comparison to high ETF ownership stocks. We show that high ETF ownership stocks...

Based on intraday data for a large cross section of individual stocks, we find that the risk component of stock returns exhibits strong intraday momentum, and this pattern holds from previous market close to 10:00, and every half hour since then until market close at 16:00. Strikingly, the...

Using a large hand-collected dataset, we provide novel evidence on the additional information embedded in the designs and graphs of financial reports. We find that firms that add graphic financial reports experience a positive 2.7% abnormal returns in the following 3 to 6 months. The finding...

We examine the relation between firms’ environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance and aggregate stock market returns. Based on 38 ESG scores, we construct a market-level ESG index and find its strong positive predictive power on the market returns both in- and out-of-sample, and...