Using data from the Tokyo Stock Exchange, we study how beta, size, and ratio of book to market equity (BE/ME) account for the cross-section of expected stock returns over different lengths of investment horizons. We find that $\beta$, adjusted for infrequent trading or not, fails to explain the...

Using data from the Tokyo Stock Exchange, we study how beta, size, and ratio of book to market equity (BE/ME) account for the cross-section of expected stock returns over different lengths of investment horizons. We find that $\beta$, adjusted for infrequent trading or not, fails to explain the...

To facilitate wide use of the bootstrap method in finance, this paper shows by intuitive arguments and by simulations how it can improve upon existing tests to allow less restrictive distributional assumptions on the data and to yield more reliable (higher-order accurate) asymptotic inference....

We provide the first comprehensive analysis of option information for pricing the cross-section of stock returns by jointly examining extensive sets of firm and option characteristics. Using portfolio sorts and high-dimensional methods, we show that certain option measures have significant...

In this paper, we propose a cross-sectional option momentum strategy that is based on the risk component of delta-hedged option returns. We find strong evidence of risk continuation in option returns. Specifically, options with a high risk component significantly outperform those with a low risk...

We survey the literature on stock return forecasting, highlighting the challenges faced by forecasters as well as strategies for improving return forecasts. We focus on U.S. equity premium forecastability and illustrate key issues via an empirical application based on updated data. Some studies...

We find that anomaly returns are generally unchanged during FOMC days, though a small group of anomalies may have substantial changes. But if they do, their changes exacerbate pricing errors. Hence, our evidence challenges existing studies that find that the CAPM performs better over the FOMC...

While there are hundreds of cross-sectional predictors in the equity market, whether corporate bonds are predictable in the cross-section is an open question. This paper proposes to use trend signals in returns, which exploit short-, intermediate- and long-term trends simultaneously, to predict...

In this paper, we conduct a simulation analysis of the Fama and MacBeth (1973) two-pass procedure, as well as maximum likelihood (ML) and generalized method of moments estimators of cross-sectional expected return models. We also provide some new analytical results on computational issues, the...

We test the mean-variance efficiency of a given portfolio with a Bayesian framework. Our test is more direct than Shanken's (1987), because we impose a prior on all the parameters of the multivariate regression model. The approach is also easily adapted to other problems. We use Monte Carlo...