Showing 1 - 10 of 154
In this paper, we propose a stop-loss strategy to limit the downside risk of the well-known momentum strategy. At a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006637
Based on intraday data for a large cross section of individual stocks, we find that the risk component of stock returns … until market close at 16:00. Strikingly, the return on the long-short tradable spread portfolio sorted by the risk component … exhibits a similar return momentum, which is the first cross-sectional return momentum in the intraday literature. The risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295372
In this paper, we propose a cross-sectional option momentum strategy that is based on the risk component of delta …-hedged option returns. We find strong evidence of risk continuation in option returns. Specifically, options with a high risk … component significantly outperform those with a low risk component. The risk-based option momentum strategy is highly profitable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351235
This paper constructs a manager sentiment index based on the aggregated textual tone of corporate financial disclosures. We find that manager sentiment is a strong negative predictor of future aggregate stock market returns, with monthly in-sample and out-of-sample R2 of 9.75% and 8.38%,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971010
We propose an employee sentiment index, which complements investor sentiment and manager sentiment indices, and find that high employee sentiment predicts a subsequent low market return, significant both in- and out-of-sample. The predictability of the employee sentiment index can also deliver...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832753
We propose a new investor sentiment index that is aligned with the purpose of predicting the aggregate stock market. By eliminating a common noise component in sentiment proxies, the new index has much greater predictive power than existing sentiment indices both in- and out-of-sample, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905243
significant power in predicting stock market risk premium, both in-sample and out-of-sample. This common component is well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852097
We propose a novel measure of the ex-ante commodity downside-risk premium (CDP) for each commodity based on a term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239736
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259395
This paper examines the macro-spanning hypothesis for bond returns in international markets. Based on a large panel of real-time macro variables that are not subject to revisions, wefind that global macro factors have predictive power for bond returns unspanned by yield factors.Furthermore, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856793