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patterns, such as the size of market risk premium, level of interest rate, degree of dividend yield predictability, and the … term structure of variance risk premiums, of both the equity and option data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071174
We propose a novel measure of the ex-ante commodity downside-risk premium (CDP) for each commodity based on a term …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239736
In this paper, we propose a cross-sectional option momentum strategy that is based on the risk component of delta …-hedged option returns. We find strong evidence of risk continuation in option returns. Specifically, options with a high risk … component significantly outperform those with a low risk component. The risk-based option momentum strategy is highly profitable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351235
We uncover a negative correlation between macroeconomic uncertainty and security analyst earning forecasts dispersion, and explain it through herding behavior bias of the analysts. We find that the herding firms, whose analysts suffer the herding bias, have greater firm-level uncertainty than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257970
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590566
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490848
This paper examines the macro-spanning hypothesis for bond returns in international markets. Based on a large panel of real-time macro variables that are not subject to revisions, wefind that global macro factors have predictive power for bond returns unspanned by yield factors.Furthermore, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856793
We show that the conditional risk estimation in the ICAPM model (Merton, 1973) should contain the unspanned uncertainty … significant risk-return tradeoff in both aggregated market and stock cross-section, in both short and long run, and both in and …-investment portfolio buying stocks in the top unspanned risk decile and selling stocks in the bottom decile can generate a Fama …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257627
We provide the first comprehensive analysis of option information for pricing the cross-section of stock returns by jointly examining extensive sets of firm and option characteristics. Using portfolio sorts and high-dimensional methods, we show that certain option measures have significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013286018
For the popular mean-variance portfolio choice problem in the case without a risk-free asset, we develop a new … portfolio strategy to mitigate estimation risk. We show that in both calibrations and real datasets, optimally combining the … estimation risk than alternative strategies proposed in the literature. In addition, the newly derived optimal combining strategy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547611