Showing 1 - 10 of 120
Many anomalies are based on firm characteristics and are rebalanced yearly, ignoring any information during the year. In this paper, we provide dynamic trading strategies to rebalance the anomaly portfolios monthly. For eight major anomalies, we find that these dynamic trading strategies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904194
We establish the out-of-sample predictability of monthly exchange rate changes via machine learning techniques based on 70 predictors capturing country characteristics, global variables, and their interactions. To guard against overfitting, we use the elastic net to estimate a high-dimensional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847704
suffers from a look-ahead bias, despite existing evidence on successes of the strategies at the stock level. After correcting … the bias, the strategy becomes very difficult to implement in practice as its maximum drawdown is 68--93% in almost all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897452
This paper reviews the literature on Bayesian portfolio analysis. Information about events, macro conditions, asset pricing theories, and security-driving forces can serve as useful priors in selecting optimal portfolios. Moreover, parameter uncertainty and model uncertainty are practical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008835308
We find that anomaly returns are generally unchanged during FOMC days, though a small group of anomalies may have substantial changes. But if they do, their changes exacerbate pricing errors. Hence, our evidence challenges existing studies that find that the CAPM performs better over the FOMC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351406
We construct an information factor (INFO) using the informed stock buying of corporate insiders and the informed selling of short sellers and option traders. INFO strongly predicts future stock returns -- a long-short portfolio formed on INFO earns monthly alphas of 1.24%, substantially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898919
We investigate the effect of ETF ownership on stock market anomalies and market efficiency. We find that low ETF ownership stocks exhibit higher returns, greater Sharpe ratios, and highly significant alphas in comparison to high ETF ownership stocks. We show that high ETF ownership stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293722
The unconditional mean-variance efficiency of the Morgan Stanley Capital International world equity index is investigated. Using data from 16 OECD countries and Hong Kong and maintaining the assumption of multivariate normality, we cannot reject the efficiency of the benchmark. However, residual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012736001
While existing asset pricing studies focus on macroeconomic variables to predict stock market risk premium, we find that an aggregate index of corporate activities has substantially greater predictive power both in- and out-of sample, and yields much greater economic gain for a mean-variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934744
In this paper, we explore what factors drive expected corporate bond returns all over the world. With a novel dataset, and utilizing machine learning models, we find there is strong predictability of corporate bond returns in international markets. However, the documented factors that drive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405279