This paper examines the ability of the oil market variance risk premium (VRP) to predict both financial and key macroeconomic series. Interest in understanding movement in such variables increasingly considers measures of investor risk and the variance risk premium, which incorporates both...

This paper examines the ability of the oil market variance risk premium (VRP) to predict both financial and key macroeconomic series. Interest in understanding the movement of such variables increasingly involves considers measures of investor risk, for which the VRP that incorporates both...

This paper investigates the role of oil as a determinant of the US stock-bond correlation. The analysis uses monthly data over the period from February 1990 to July 2021. We examine the impact of oil shocks, using the Ready (2018) method, alongside a range of macroeconomic variables on the...

This paper examines the ability of the oil market variance risk premium (VRP) to predict both financial and key macroeconomic series. Interest in understanding the movement of such variables increasingly involves considers measures of investor risk, for which the VRP that incorporates both...