This paper discusses the state of the art in research in racetrack and lottery investment markets. Market efficiency and the pricing of various wagers is studied along with new developments since the Thaler and Ziemba (1988) review. The weak form inefficient market approach using stochastic...

The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Strategy (KCGIS) is to maximize the expected utility of nal wealth with a logarithmic utility function. This approach dates to Bernoulli's 1738 suggestion of log as the utility function arguing that marginal utility was proportional to the reciprocal of...

This paper categorizes investors into five groups. They are: efficient markets, risk premium, genius superior traders, rejectors of efficient market theory and those who use research to make superior risk adjusted returns. Successful investment involves estimation and optimization and these are...

This paper reviews contributions to portfolio theory and practice by William T. Ziemba and his colleagues. The paper covers static and dynamic portfolio and capital growth theory along with real applications to asset and asset-liability management and various types of trading and prediction and...

It is widely believed that the 1/n portfolio provides a good ex-post performance. Several studies have compared the 1/n portfolio with respect to a set of optimal mean-variance policies to prove or disprove the superiority of the 1/n portfolio. However, this approach is not likely to yield a...

Financial disasters to hedge funds, bank trading departments and individual speculative traders and investors seem to always occur because of non-diversification in all possible scenarios, being overbet and being hit by a bad scenario. Black swans are the worst type of bad scenario: unexpected...

This paper extends Merton’s continuous time (instantaneous) mean-varianceanalysis and the mutual fund separation theory. Given the existence of a Marko-vian state price density process, the optimal portfolios from concave utility max-imization are instantaneously mean-variance efficient...

Financial disasters to hedge funds, bank trading departments and individual speculative traders and investors seem to always occur because of non-diversification in all possible scenarios, being overbet and being hit by a bad scenario. Black swans are the worst type of bad scenario: unexpected...

The January effect is concerned with high stock returns in January, especially by small cap stocks. Transactions costs, especially price pressures, make it difficult to take advantage of this anomaly. However, these costs are minimal in the futures markets. This paper discusses the results of...

Pension funds typically suggest the 60-40 stock-bond rule to lower risk as during stock market declines bonds tend to rise. However, US investment returns have been presidential party dependent; and returns in the last two years of all administrations exceed those in the first two years. The...