This paper extends Merton’s continuous time (instantaneous) mean-varianceanalysis and the mutual fund separation theory. Given the existence of a Marko-vian state price density process, the optimal portfolios from concave utility max-imization are instantaneously mean-variance efficient...

Financial disasters to hedge funds, bank trading departments and individual speculative traders and investors seem to always occur because of non-diversification in all possible scenarios, being overbet and being hit by a bad scenario. Black swans are the worst type of bad scenario: unexpected...

AbstractThe following sections are included:The January effectCommodity trading: investing in the January small cap effect in the index futures marketsConclusion

AbstractAs I write on Sunday November 22, 2010, this I am watching the TV analysts discuss this controversial decision on Sunday, November 15. They are all ex-National Football League star players with an announcer. Their analysis is seat of the pants. But is that the right way to analyze...

AbstractThe following sections are included:Types of sovereign fundsIs there a common asset allocation for pension funds?Sovereign Pension funds and International Capital MarketsGovernance Issues of public pension fundsIntergenerational borrowingRegional TrendsAsiaMiddle EastEuropeConclusion

AbstractWe know that on average the typical mutual fund does not beat the market. The evidence is that professional managers all over the world have a hard time beating the market averages. In a given year, only about 25% to 40% of managers actually beat a buy-and-hold strategy of holding the...

AbstractThe following sections are included:Predictive Ability of the Bond-Stock Earnings Yield Difference Model

AbstractThe following sections are included:Societe GeneraleWhat is a subprime loan and why have they caused so much trouble in so many places?CMO, CDO trouble continuedWho will bail out the aling banks and financial institutions?US$ declineWhat is Warren Buffett thinking and doing?Summary

AbstractThe following sections are included:Credit markets and financial institutionsEquity marketsChinese role in global trade

AbstractThe following sections are included:The 2010 outlookWhat all the squealing from the PIIGS means