Dieser Beitrag skizziert eine „conceptual history“ der modernen Gesellschaft. Er unterscheideteine malthusianische Stagnationsphase und eine postmalthusianische Wachstumsphaseder Weltwirtschaftsgeschichte und entwickelt anhand eines Modells zur Interdependenzwirtschaftlicher und politischer...

This paper develops the theoretical foundations and the testable implications of the variousmechanisms that have been proposed as possible triggers for the demographic transition.Moreover, it examines the empirical validity of each of the theories and their significance forthe understanding of...

Die Ungleichheit in Deutschland hatzugenommen und ist hartnäckigergeworden. Die noch immer mächtigewohlfahrtsstaatliche Umverteilungverdeckt nur eine zunehmend tiefereGesellschaftsspaltung. Diese Spaltungschadet dem Wachstum kurzfristigdurch Konsumausfall und langfristigdadurch, dass eine...

This paper shows that preferences alone cannot explain the patterns reported in the literature.

This paper proposes a novel methodology, based on the Common Principal Component analysis, allowing one to estimate the factors driving the term structure of interest rates, in the presence of time-varying covariance structure.

Many economic and econometric applications require the integration of functions lacking a closed form antiderivative, which is therefore a task that can only be solved by numerical methods. We propose a new family of probability densities that can be used as substitutes and have the property of...

In this study, we develop a technique for estimating a firm’s expected cost of equity capital derivedfrom analyst consensus forecasts and stock prices. Building on the work of Gebhardt/Lee/-Swaminathan (2001) and Easton/Taylor/Shroff/Sougiannis (2002), our approach allows dailyestimation, using...