The objective of this paper is to analyze the effects of alternative monetary rules on realexchange rate persistence. Using a two-country stochastic dynamic general equilibrium withnominal price stickiness and local currency pricing, we will show how the persistence ofpurchasing power parity...

In a country with high probability of default, higher interest rates may render the currency lessattractive if sovereign default is costly. This paper develops that intuition in a simple model andestimates the effect of changes in interest rates on the exchange rate in Brazil using data from...

This paper shows that properly designed interest rate rules can be consistent withmaintaining exchange rate stability. It sheds light on the relation between interest rate rules,exchange rate regimes, and determinacy of the rational expectation equilibrium in a modernmacroeconomic framework.[...]

We propose a theory of exchange rate determination under interestrate rules in a two-country model. We first show that simpleinterest rate feedback rules can determine a unique and stableequilibrium without any explicit reaction to the nominal exchangerate.We characterize how the behavior of the...

This paper addresses the consumption–real exchange rate anomaly.International real business cycle models based on complete financialmarkets predict a unitary correlation between the realexchange rate and the ratio of home to foreign consumptionwhen subjected to supply-side shocks. In the data,...

China’s financial conundrum arises from two sources: (1) its large trade (saving) surplusresults in a currency mismatch because it is an immature creditor that cannot lend in its own currency. Instead foreign currency claims (largely dollars) build up within domestic financialinstitutions. And...

The U.S. dollar holds a dominant place in the invoicing of international trade, along two complementary dimensions. First, most U.S. exports and imports invoiced in dollars. Second, trade flows that donot involve the United States are also substantially invoiced in dollars, an aspect that has...

Past empirical research on monetary policy in open economies has found evidence of the ’delayed overshooting’, the ’forward discount’ and the ’exchange rate’ puzzles. We revisit the effects of monetary policy on exchange rates by applying Uhlig’s (2005) identification procedure that...

Recent data show substantial increases in the size of gross external asset and liabilitypositions. The implications of these developments for optimal conduct of monetarypolicy are analyzed in a standard open economy model which is augmented to allowfor endogenous portfolio choice. The model...

In practice, central banks have been confronted with a trade-off between stabilising inflation and output when dealing with rising oil prices. This contrasts with the result in the standard New Keynesian model that ensuring complete price stability is the optimal thing to do, even when an oil...