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Bayesian Demographic Modeling and Forecasting: An Application to U.S. Mortality
Reichmuth, Wolfgang; Sarferaz, Samad - Sonderforschungsbereich Ökonomisches Risiko <Berlin> - 2008
We present a new way to model age-specific demographic variables with the example of age-specific mortality in the U … jointly with the latent variables underlying mortality of all age classes. In contrast to previousmodels, a similar … forecasts for particular age classes. A structural analysis of the relationship between age-specific mortality and covariates is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860485
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Data in Context: Notes on Employment and Labor ForceData
Imerman, Mark D. - Iowa State University of Science and Technology <Ames, … - 2006
This paper provides a brief review of readily available labor force and employment data for the United States and local areas. Labor force and employment terminology, geographic parameters, and strengths and weaknesses of available data sets are discussed.[...]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009360859
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Demography, Capital Flows and Unemployment
Marchiori, Luca; Pierrard, Olivier - Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit <Bonn> - 2011
This paper contributes to the already vast literature on demography-induced internationalcapital flows by examining the role of labor market imperfections and institutions. We setup atwo-country overlapping generations model with search unemployment, which we calibrateon EU15 and US data. Labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009522201
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Labor income risk, demographic risk, and thedesign of (wage-indexed) social security
Borgmann, Christoph - Institut für Finanzwissenschaft <Freiburg, Breisgau> - 2002
Pay-as-you-go pension programs can help to share risk amongst generations.While a wage-indexed pension program is best suited to share labor income risk,I show that the combination of stochastic labor income and stochastic populationgrowth may reduce the possibilities for intergenerational risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005870417
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Die Interne Rendite derGesetzlichen Pflegeversicherung
Häcker, Jasmin; Raffelhüschen, Bernd - Institut für Finanzwissenschaft <Freiburg, Breisgau> - 2005
Die Einführung eines jeden auf dem Umlageverfahren basierenden Systems verursacht– bei unterstellter Alterung der Bevölkerung – eine intergenerative Umverteilungzu Gunsten der ersten Generationen und zu Lasten üungerer und nachwachsenderGenerationen. Am Beispiel der Einf¨uhrung der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005870444
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Internal Rates of Return of the German StatutoryLong-Term Care Insurance
Häcker, Jasmin; Raffelhüschen, Bernd - Institut für Finanzwissenschaft <Freiburg, Breisgau> - 2005
Presuming an ageing population, every introduction of a pay-as-you-go schemecauses intergenerational redistribution in favor of the first generations and to theburden of young and future generations. Using the concept of internal rates ofreturn we want to examine the extent to which the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005870445
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Confronting the Stigma of Perfection: Genetic Demography, Diversity and the Quest for a Democratic Eugenics in the Post-war United States
Ramsden, Edmund - London School of Economics and Political Science - 2006
Eugenics has played an important role in the relations between social and biological scientists of population through time. Having served as a site for the sharing of data and methods between disciplines in the early twentieth century, scientists and historians have tended to view its legacy in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005870929
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Measuring Income Risk
Burgess, Simon M.; Gardiner, Karen; Jenkins, Stephen P.; … - London School of Economics and Political Science - 2000
We provide a critique of the methods that have been used to derive measures ofincome risk and draw attention to the importance of demographic factors as asource of income risk. We also propose new measures of the contribution tototal income risk of demographic and labour market factors....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008733210
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Industrial Structure and Capital Flows
Jin, Keyu - London School of Economics and Political Science - 2010
This paper provides a new theory of international capital ows. In a frameworkthat integrates factor-proportions-based trade and nancial capital ows, a novel forceemerges: capital tends to ow towards countries that become more specialized incapital-intensive industries. This `composition' eect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008939839