This paper presents a universal framework for pricing financial andinsurance risks. Examples are given for pricing contingent payoffs, wherethe underlying asset or loss can be either traded or not traded....

We develop an optimal asset allocatlon model for the accumulation phase of a defined contribution pension plan in the presence of non-hedgeable salary risk...

Die für Versicherungen zuständige Regulierungsbehörde in der Schweiz (Bundesamt für Privatversicherungen, BPV) hat den Auftrag, den Schutz der Ansprüche von Versicherungsnehmern sicherzustellen. Wie in vielen anderen Ländern wurde dieses Ziel bisher mit einer Kombination von Massnahmen...

This paper compares the pricing and hedging performance of the LMM model against two spot-ratemodels, namely Hull-White and Black-Karasinski, and the more recent Swap Market Model from anAsset-Liability-Management (ALM) perspective. In contrast to previous studies in the literature, ouremphasis...

In this paper, we compare two one-factor short rate models: the Hull White model and the Black-Karasinski model. Despite their inherent shortcomings the short rate models are being used quiteextensively by the practitioners for risk-management purposes. The research, as part of...

In the era of Basel II a powerful tool for bankruptcy prognosis isvital for banks. The tool must be precise but also easily adaptable tothe bank's objections regarding the relation of false acceptances (TypeI error) and false rejections (Type II error). We explore the suitabil-ity of Smooth...

This paper presents a behavioral finance model of the exchange rate. Agents forecast theexchange rate by means of very simple rules. They can choose between three groups offorecasting rules: fundamentalist, extrapolative and momentum rules. Agents using afundamentalist rule are not able to...

In the ideal Black-Scholes world, financial time series are assumed 1) stationary (time homogeneous) and 2) having conditionally normal distribution given the past. These two assumptions have been widely-used in many methods such as the RiskMetrics, one risk management method considered as...

In an information cascade experiment participants are confronted with artificial predecessors predicting in line with the BHW model (Bikchandani et al.,1992). Using the BDM (Becker et al., 1964) mechanism we study participants'probability perceptions based on maximum prices for participating in...