This paper adopts the point of view that a crisis will face a person, organisation, region orcountry at some point in their life span or history. The question is how to prepare for thecrises and recover from them afterwards? Some of us recover better than others and in ashorter time. The concept...

Dieser Beitrag skizziert eine „conceptual history“ der modernen Gesellschaft. Er unterscheideteine malthusianische Stagnationsphase und eine postmalthusianische Wachstumsphaseder Weltwirtschaftsgeschichte und entwickelt anhand eines Modells zur Interdependenzwirtschaftlicher und politischer...

Unied growth theory predicts that the timing of the fertility transitionis a key determinant of contemporary comparative development, as itmarks the onset of the take-o to sustained growth. Neoclassical growth theorypresupposes a take-o, and explains comparative development by variationsin...

Conventional R&D-based growth theory suggests that productivitygrowth is positively correlated with population size or population growth,an implication which is hard to see in the data. Here we integrate R&D-basedgrowth into a unied growth setup with micro-founded fertility and...

This paper develops the theoretical foundations and the testable implications of the variousmechanisms that have been proposed as possible triggers for the demographic transition.Moreover, it examines the empirical validity of each of the theories and their significance forthe understanding of...

Die Ungleichheit in Deutschland hatzugenommen und ist hartnäckigergeworden. Die noch immer mächtigewohlfahrtsstaatliche Umverteilungverdeckt nur eine zunehmend tiefereGesellschaftsspaltung. Diese Spaltungschadet dem Wachstum kurzfristigdurch Konsumausfall und langfristigdadurch, dass eine...