Using a new data set on investor sentiment we show that institutional and individualsentiment proxy for smart money and noise trader risk, respectively. First, usingbias-adjusted long-horizon regressions, we document that institutional sentiment forecastsstock market returns at intermediate...

The puzzling evidence of seemingly high momentum returns is related to an understanding ofrisk as a simple covariance. If we consider, however, risk in higher-order statistical moments,momentum returns appear less advantageous.

This paper extends earlier studies on exchange rate expectations' formation by using newdata and adding information about forecasters' reliance on fundamental analysis for the firsttime. We replicate the conventional result of non rational expectations. Moreover, biases inexpectations are...

Our questionnaire survey finds that most fund managers rely on the strategies ofbuy-&-hold, momentum and contrarian trading. These strategies are typically appliedmutually. Their use is rooted in the attributes and beliefs of the respective fund managers:buy-&-hold traders behave fundamentally...

We study the relationship between foreign exchange trading activity and volatility on theUSD/EUR foreign exchange market on the basis of a unique data set around the events of09/11/2001. We find that volatility and bid-ask spreads are by far larger at that time, but theshock is not persistent....

This paper finds that fund managers do not expect mean reverting returns, as suggested by theory andempirical evidence, but mean averting returns.[...]

In dem vorliegenden Artikel wird empirisch der Fragenachgegangen, ob eine auf Point&Figure-Charts basierende Anlagestrategiestatistisch signifikant zu ökonomisch bedeutsamen Überrenditen führt. Da-bei zeigt sich in den durchgeführten Simulationen, dass eine der beiden un-tersuchten...

Based on a questionnaire survey the paper distinguishes between herdingasset managers who try to be good and non-herding asset managers who try to bebetter than their competitors. It provides evidence for reputational herding anddiscusses herding managers' working effort, preferred sources of...

Empirical research has shown that inexperienced fund managers yield significantly higherreturns than their more experienced colleagues. If the portfolios of inexperienced are not morerisky, this result would contradict the hypothesis of market efficiency. Therefore, it is animportant question...

This paper delineates the simultaneous impact of non-anticipated information onmean and variance of the intraday return process by including appropriate variablesaccounting for the news flow into both the mean and the variance function. This allowsus to differentiate between the consistent price...