This paper uses dimension asymptotics to study why overfit linear regression models shouldbe compared out-of-sample; we let the number of predictors used by the larger model increasewith the number of observations so that their ratio remains uniformly positive. Under this limittheory, the naive...

The objective of this paper is to extend the results on Pseudo Maximum Likelihood(PML) theory derived in Gourieroux, Monfort, and Trognon (GMT)(1984) to a situation where the rst four conditional moments are specied.Such an extension is relevant in light of pervasive evidence that conditional...

paper analyzes the impact of model complexity on the valuation of project financed investments along two dimensions: The NPV distribution and the expected default probability of the project. Model complexity is separated in forecast and simulation complexity. Thereby, we aim to identify elements...

This paper considers the effect of Parker and Wine Spectator ratings on Swiss retail prices of thegrand cru classé of Médoc , Graves and St Emilion as well as the most renowned wines ofPomerol in a panel data setting. The application of a two-way fixed effects regression model todata of the...

The global hunger indices of 2008 and 2009 (Grebmer et al. 2008, 2009) point to persistently high levels of hunger and food insecurity and a worsening of the situation due to rising crop prices. At the same time, there is a lack of empirical knowledge on the demand- and supply-side determinants...

In this article we discuss the determinants of international agricultural market prices andpresent the results of a partial equilibrium model of international agricultural trade withinterconnected markets. The results of the model suggest that the long term trend of decliningreal agricultural...

This article reviews ways of representing the effects of decoupling in the EuropeanUnion (EU) on land allocation and production in eight selected simulationmodels (AGLINK, AG-MEMOD, CAPRI, CAPSIM, ESIM, FAPRI, GOALand GTAP). It then compares the simulated effects of decoupling and tracesthem...

Several empirical analyses of data from fed cattle markets have found anegative correlation between a region's weekly delivery volume of captive supply cattleand contemporaneous price in the local cash market. This negative correlation has beencited as evidence of a causal relationship between...

After controlling a variety of feeder cattle characteristics and market and sale conditions, weestimate the price premiums for preconditioning (vaccinations and minimum 30 days weaning)claims with and without third-party certification (TPC) as $6.15/cwt and $3.40/cwt, respectively,in Iowa feeder...

This paper investigates the impact of specific modes of entry of foreign banks, i.e.greenfield investment versus merger and acquisition, on bank performance in threetransition economies – the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland. We use stochasticfrontier analysis to model and measure the cost...