We propose a simple class of semiparametric multivariate GARCH models, allowing for asymmetric volatilities and time-varying conditional correlations. Estimates for time-varying conditional correlations are constructed by means of a convex combination of estimates for averaged correlations...

We provide a convenient econometric framework for the analysis of nonlinear dependence in financial applications. We introduce models with constrained nonparametric dependence, which specify the conditional distribution or the copula in terms of a one-dimensional functional parameter. Our...

The term structure of American interest rates is filtered to reduce the influence of cross correlations and auto correlations on its factors. A three-factor model is fitted to the filtered data. Contrary to most studies of the term structure on monthly data, performing statistical tests we...

In this paper we provide a convenient econometric framework for the analy-sis of nonlinear dependence in financial applications. We introduce models withconstrained nonparametric dependence, which specify the conditional distrib-ution or the copula in terms of a one-dimensional functional...

n this paper we analyse recovery rates on defaulted bonds using the Standard and Poors / PMD database for the years 1981-1999. Due to the specific nature of the data (observations lie within 0 and 1), we must rely on nonstandard econometric techniques. The recovery rate density is estimated...

With the recent availability of high-frequency nancial data the longrange dependence of volatility regained researchers' interest and has leadto the consideration of long memory models for realized volatility. Thelong range diagnosis of volatility, however, is usually stated for long...

In this paper we provide a review of copula theory with applications to finance. We illustrate the idea on the bivariate framework and discuss the simple, elliptical and Archimedean classes of copulae. Since the copulae model the dependency structure between random variables, next we explain the...

A non-stationary regression model for financial returns is examined theoretically in this paper.Volatility dynamics are modelled both exogenously and deterministic, captured by a nonparametriccurve estimation on equidistant centered returns. We prove consistency and asymptotic normalityof a...

We reappraise the relationship between productivity and equilibrium real exchangerates using a panel estimation framework that incorporates a large number ofcountries and importantly, a dataset that allows explicit consideration of the role ofnon-traded, as well as traded, sector productivity...

The growth process for a technological leader is different from that of a follower.While followers can grow through imitation and capital deepening, a leader must undertakeoriginal research. This suggests that as the gap between the leader and the follower narrows, thefollower must undertake...