This paper extends and modifies the Keynesian critique of inflation targetingwith reference to stabilisation policy in emerging market economies. The IMF‘basic monetary programming framework’ for developing countries usesgovernment borrowing and the exchange rate as policy instruments in...

The paper presents a monetary policy model with an endogenous capital stock when a backwardlooking element in wage setting causes inflation persistence. We analyse how the endogeneityof the capital stock changes the macroeconomic dynamics with which policy interacts and itsimplications for...

We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involvinga risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequencyfor ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates andBayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We nd that...

Over recent years, study on risk management has been prompted by the Basel committee for regular banking supervisory. There are however limitations of some widely-used risk management methods that either calculate risk measures under the Gaussian distributional assumption or involve numerical...

A test for the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) process with a possible shift and broken linear trend is proposed. The break point is assumed to be known. The setup is a VAR process for cointegrated variables. The tests are not likelihood ratio tests but the deterministic...

We show that the power of the KPSS-test against inte-gration, as measured by divergence rates of the test statistic underthe alternative, remains the same when residuals from an OLS-regression rather than true observations are used.[...]

The aim of this paper is to analyze the hypotheses of German dominanceand asymmetry in the European Monetary System (EMS).Weuse monthly data for British, Dutch, French, German, Italian, Spanishand US interest rates from January 1979 to the second half of 1997. Inparticular, we test the stability...

Stylized facts on output and interest rates in the U.S. have so far proved hard to match with business cycle models. But these findings do not acknowledge that the economy might well be driven by different shocks, and by each in different ways. I estimate covariances of output, nominal and real...