This paper considers the determination of aggregate price level under dispersed information.A Central Bank sets policy in response to its noisy measure of the price level, andeach agent makes its decisions by observing a subset of data. Information revealed to theagents and the bank is...

Using a model of island economy where financial markets aggregate dispersed informationof the public, we analyze how two-way communication between the central bankand the public affects inflation dynamics. When inflation target is observable and credibleto the public, markets provide the bank...

Over the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and...

The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of competing hypotheses are evaluated on a stand-alone basis, and all are found to be inadequate. This includes the view that this outcome has been solely the result of more...

Recent theoretical work shows that changes in the volatility of inflation and/or unem-ployment affect equilibrium in°ation outcomes when the central banker's loss functionis asymmetric. We show that previous evidence offered in support of the propositionthat the volatility of unemployment helps...

Central banks typically find it difficult to turn off the "political pressure valve". This has important consequences for the types of monetary policies they implement. This paper presents an analysis of how political factors may come into play in the equilibrium determination of inflation. We...

In this paper we propose a novel methodology to analyze optimal policies undermodel uncertainty in micro-founded macroeconomic models. As an application weassess the relevant sources of uncertainty for the optimal conduct of monetary policy within (parameter uncertainty) and across models...

This paper examines whether the existence and the timing of real balance effects contribute to the determination of the absolute price level, as suggested byPatinkin (1949,1965), and if they affect conditions for local equilibrium uniqueness and stability. I show that there exists a unique price...

This paper examines how money demand induced real balance effects contribute to the determination of the price level, as suggested by Patinkin (1949,1965), and if they affect conditions for local equilibrium uniqueness and stability. There exists a unique price level sequence that is consistent...

Aggregated output in industrialized countries has become less volatile over the pastdecades. Whether this “Great Moderation” can be found in firm level data as wellremains disputed. We study the evolution of firm level output volatility using abalanced panel dataset on German firms that...