This report summarises the findings of the Joint Forum’s Working Group on Risk Assessment and Capital and builds on the previous efforts of the Working Group to better understand approaches to the management of major individual risks in the banking, insurance, and securities sectors...

We address a puzzle in welfare economics - the possibility that rational people maybe simultaneously against two apparently conflicting forms of “tyranny”. In fact thetwo types of tyranny can be reconciled but at the possible cost of conflict with otherstandard welfare principles. We examine...

It is investigated whether Euro-area variables can be forecast better based on synthetic time series for the pre-Euro period or by using just data from Germany for the pre-Euro period. Our forecast comparison is based on quarterly data for the period 1970Q1 - 2003Q4 for ten macroeconomic...

This paper examines finite parimutuel betting games with asymmetric information, with particular attention to differences between sequential and simultaneous settings, and betweenfully rational and myopic ("price taking") behavior. In the simultaneous parimutuel market,all (symmetric and...

Long-run economic growth is analysed in a global model with many small countriesprone to national level total factor productivity shocks. The possibility ofprecautionary saving or dissaving is a function of the higher-order moments and thecross-moments of the factor income distributions, which...

We exploit the aggregative structure of the public good modelto provide a simple analysis of the voluntary contribution game. Incontrast to the best response function approach, ours avoids the pro-liferation of dimensions as the number of players is increased, andcan readily analyse games...