Central bankers’ conventional wisdom suggests that nominal interest rates should be raised to implement a lower inflation target. In contrast, I show that the standard New Keynesian monetary model predicts that nominal interest rates should bedecreased to attain this goal. Real interest rates,...

[...]This exercise is meant to give a quantitativeimpression of whether the interaction between inflationand short-term interest rates exhibits a pattern of behaviorafter the adoption of the inflation target that differsmarkedly from the pattern before.2 The unconditional forecastof each...

Die Entschlossenheit der Wirtschaftspolitik,sich mit niedrigen Zinsen undfi skalischen Impulsen gegen dieWeltwirtschaftskrise zu stemmen,provoziert Infl ationsbefürchtungen.Sie beruhen teilweise auf Mißverständnissenhinsichtlich des „Gelddruckens“der Notenbanken. Die Geldpolitikverfügt...

This paper highlights relative price adjustments taking place in the global economy as important sources of the lower levels of inflation rates observed in the recent decades. Using a markup model, it shows substantial effects from declines in wage costs and import prices relative to consumer...

This paper analyzes the cost of disinflations under real wage rigidities in a micro-foundedNew Keynesian model. The consensus is that real wage rigidities can be a useful mechanismto induce the inflation persistence that is absent in the standard Calvo model...

In practice, central banks have been confronted with a trade-off between stabilising inflation and output when dealing with rising oil prices. This contrasts with the result in the standard New Keynesian model that ensuring complete price stability is the optimal thing to do, even when an oil...

While consumption habits have been utilised as a means of generating a hump shapedoutput response to monetary policy shocks in sticky-price New Keynesian economies,there is relatively little analysis of the impact of habits (particularly, external habits) onoptimal policy. In this paper we...

[...]In this article, we model the relationship between goodsinflation and services inflation from 1967:2 to 2002:4. To helpinform the inflation debate, we then use our results to forecastinflation for 2003. The specific inflation series that we model isthe quarterly change (at an annual rate)...