Agents compete to acquire a limited economic opportunity of uncertain pro…tability.Each agent decides how much he acquires public signals before making investmentunder fear of preemption. I show that equilibria have various levels of e¢ ciency undermild competition. The e¤ect of competition...

This paper extends the literature on the information content of financial variables with respect to future economic growth. It shows that variables originating from both the equity market and the bond market in Switzerland are useful indicators for forecasting the Swiss business cycle. In...

Over the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and...

This paper introduces a new algorithm, the recursive upwind Gauss–Seidel method, andapplies it to solve a standard stochastic growth model in which the technology shocksexhibit heteroskedasticity. This method exploits the fact that the equations definingequilibrium can be viewed as a set of...

This paper contributes to the literature on the properties of money and creditindicators for detecting asset price misalignments. After a review of the evidence inthe literature on this issue, the paper discusses the approaches that can be consideredto detect asset price busts. Considering a...

Das vorliegende Papier verfolgt, den empirischen Zusammenhang zwischen den realen Aktienmarktniveaus von Deutschland und den USA zur Aktienmarktprognose zu verwenden ...

This paper tests whether out-of-sample hedonic value predictions can be improved when a large urban housing market is divided into submarkets.

In this paper we want to discuss macroscopic and microscopicproperties of financial markets. By analyzing quantitatively a database consisting of 13 minute per minute recorded financial time series, we identify some macroscopic statistical properties of the corresponding markets, with a special...

Asset-backed securitisation (ABS) is an asset funding technique that involvesthe issuance of structured claims on the cash flow performance of a designatedpool of underlying receivables. Efficient risk management and asset allocation inthis growing segment of fixed income markets requires both...

In this paper, we examine the dynamic behavior of credit spreads on corporate bond portfolios. We propose an econometric model of credit spreads that incorporates portfolio rebalancing, the near unit root property of spreads, the autocorrelation in spread changes, the ARCH conditional...