This paper constructs a two-country stochastic growth model in which neutraland investment-specic technology shocks are nonstationary but cointegrated acrosseconomies. It uses this model to interpret data showing that while real investmenthas grown faster than real consumption in the United...

This paper uses dimension asymptotics to study why overfit linear regression models shouldbe compared out-of-sample; we let the number of predictors used by the larger model increasewith the number of observations so that their ratio remains uniformly positive. Under this limittheory, the naive...

The objective of this paper is to extend the results on Pseudo Maximum Likelihood(PML) theory derived in Gourieroux, Monfort, and Trognon (GMT)(1984) to a situation where the rst four conditional moments are specied.Such an extension is relevant in light of pervasive evidence that conditional...

We use plant output and input prices to decompose the profit margin into four parts:productivity, demand shocks, mark-ups and input costs. We find that each of these marketfundamentals are important in explaining plant exit. We then use variation across sectors intariff changes after the...

We construct and estimate a unified model combining three of the main sources of cross-country income disparities:[...]

In the recent decade, capital outows from emerging economies, in the form of a demandfor liquid assets, have played a key role in the context of global imbalances. In this paper,we model the demand for liquid assets by rms in a dynamic open-economy macroeconomicmodel. We nd that the implications...

Paradoxically, high-investment and high-growth developing countries tend toexperience capital outows. This paper shows that this allocation puzzle can beexplained simply by introducing uninsurable idiosyncratic investment risk in theneoclassical growth model. Using a sample of 67 countries...

Since changes in import prices feed into consumer prices and thus might affect monetary policydecisions, policymakers need to establish whether or not German importers’ long-run pricingbehaviour has changed. Of particular interest are any shifts in the importance of cost passthroughand...

In this paper, I present a theory of dynamic economic growth, business cycles, and asset pricing that integrates (1) Marx's idea (and emphasized by Klein) of a two-class heterogeneity of the ownership structure of physical capital and human capital in a capitalist society, (2) Keynes' idea of...

We study cross-country differences in the aggregate production function whenskilled and unskilled labor are imperfect substitutes. We find that there is a skill biasin cross-country technology differences. Higher-income countries use skilled labormore efficiently than lower-income countries,...