[...]In this article, we pursue a transaction-oriented line ofresearch to help track short-term exchange rate movements. Byexamining a publicly available data set well known to currencymarket analysts—net positions held by speculators in thefutures market—we are able to document a strong...

This paper addresses the consumption–real exchange rate anomaly.International real business cycle models based on complete financialmarkets predict a unitary correlation between the realexchange rate and the ratio of home to foreign consumptionwhen subjected to supply-side shocks. In the data,...

We investigate the information content of aggregate stock market liquidity and askwhether it may be a useful realtime indicator, both for nancial stress, and real economicactivity in Norway. We describe the development in a set of liquidity proxies at the OsloStock Exchange (OSE) for the period...

This paper analyzes forward-looking rules for Swiss monetary policy in a small structural VAR model consisting of four variables taking into account data revisions for GDP. First, the paper develops an analytical method to analyze the effect of data revision errors in GDP on the ex ante or...

In „Wohlstand ohne Wachstum – Eine Schweizer Illusion“ haben wir einen breiten Überblick über dieSituation der schweizerischen Volkswirtschaft und deren Probleme gegeben. Dabei mussten einzelneThemen vertieft analysiert werden. Neben den Autoren der Studie war ein Team von drei...

Fundamentals may determine the range of real exchange rate fluctuation, through signalsof misalignment, even if they are not a major influence on the level within that range.This can explain the puzzle that more open economies experience lower real exchangerate volatility...

The volatility of real GDP growth in the United States hasfallen by half since the early 1980s relative to the priorpostwar experience.1 Inflation also stabilized around then(although only when compared with a shorter period ofvolatility in the 1970s). Some studies have argued that animprovement...

[...]This paper investigates whether the cyclical effects ofmonetary policy have been influenced by the secular growth insecuritization in recent decades. In particular, when the centralbank makes a specific monetary policy move—such asincreasing the overnight interbank rate by 50 basis...

[...]This article develops a stylized game-theoretical model toanalyze banks’ intraday liquidity management behavior in anRTGS environment. It analyzes the strategic incentives under Envision an economy with two identical banks using an RTGSsystem operated by the central bank to settle...

[...]This article outlines a different approach to the study ofLSMs in a payments system. It examines a theoretical modelof the behavior of parties, which for simplicity we refer to asbanks. Each bank has particular motivations and constraints;as a result, its behavior can be determined as an...