We modify the concept of consistent expectations equilibria introduced in Hommes and Sorger (1998) in two ways: (i) the consistency condition requires that the probability that the agents reject their perceived law of motion in any period does not exceed a given level and (ii) there may exist...

Traditional asset pricing models predict that covariance between prices of different assets should be lower than what we observe in the data. This model generates this high covariance within a rational expectations framework by introducing markets for information about asset payoffs.(...)

While the debate on how economic agents form expectations and how these expectationsshould be modelled has been key to modern macroeconomics, money illusion has been ananathema to macroeconomists until recently. The rational expectations revolution in the1970's thoroughly banned the study of...

We study identification in a class of linear rational expectations models. For any givenexactly identified model, we provide an algorithm that generates a class of equivalentmodels that have the same reduced form. We use our algorithm to show that a modelproposed by Jess Benhabib and Roger...

Several empirical analyses of data from fed cattle markets have found anegative correlation between a region's weekly delivery volume of captive supply cattleand contemporaneous price in the local cash market. This negative correlation has beencited as evidence of a causal relationship between...

By simplifying the computational tasks and by providing step-by-step explana-tions of the procedures required to study a linear dynamic rational expectations(LDRE) model, this paper and the accompanying \LDRE Toolbox" of Matalb func-tions guide a researcher with almost no experience in...

This paper shows that preferences alone cannot explain the patterns reported in the literature.

The objective of operations on futures markets may be either hedging or speculation. In this paper, we wish to give a desciption of futures markets with two groups of operators with heterogeneous expectations: hedgers-speculators, and pure speculators.(...)

We investigate a consumption-based present value relation that is a function of future dividend growth. Using data on aggregate consumption and measures of the dividend payments from aggregate wealth, we show that changing forecasts of dividend growth are an important feature of the post-war...

This paper proposes a habit formation model that explains the failure of the expectations hypothesis documented by Campbell and Shiller (1991) and Fama and Bliss (1987).(...)