Showing 1 - 10 of 180
This paper investigates the dynamics of aggregate wages and prices in the UnitedStates (US) and the Euro Area (EA) with a special focus on persistence of real wages,wage and price inflation. The analysis is conducted within a structural vector errorcorrectionmodel, where the structural shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866514
The wavelet transform is used to identify a biannual and an annual seasonalityin the Phelix Day Peak and to separate the long-term trend from its short-termmotion. The short-term/long-term model for commodity prices of Schwartz &Smith (2000) is applied but generalised to account for weekly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866786
In this paper we study the short term price behavior of December 2008 future prices for EU emissionallowances. We model returns and volatility dynamics of this price showing that a standard ARMA-GARCHframework is not adequate and that the gaussianity assumption is rejected due to the occurrence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868650
This paper employs an augmented version of the UECCC GARCH specificationproposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2010) which allows for lagged in-mean effects,level effects as well as asymmetries in the conditional variances. In this unifiedframework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009248990
This paper employs the unrestricted extended constant conditional correlationGARCH specification proposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2008) to examine theintertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of in°ation and output growthin the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009262197
We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involvinga risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequencyfor ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates andBayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We nd that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487000
The study of natural catastrophe models plays an important role in the prevention and mitigation of disasters. After the occurrence of a natural disaster, the reconstruction can be financed with catastrophe bonds (CAT bonds) or reinsurance. This paper examines the calibration of a real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861006
Annuity contracts transfer the risk of an individual outliving available assets to aninsurance company. Thus, the insurance company has to value and manage longterm risks. Interest rate risk and longevity risk are the two most important risks forannuity providers. In this paper, we develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861476
Proper pricing and risk assessment of implicit options in life insurance contractshas gained substantial attention in recent years, which is reflected in a growing literaturein this field. The purpose of this article is to outline the significance of implicitoptions in life insurance. Toward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861511
Functional principal component analysis (FPCA) based on theKarhunen-Lo`eve decomposition has been successfully applied in manyapplications, mainly for one sample problems. In this paper we consider common functional principal components for two sample problems. Our research is motivated not only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861695