In this paper the relation between aggregate mutual fund flows and stock market returns isanalysed with respect to three issues. First, we study the relation between fund flows andlong-term realized returns (past, current and future). Second, we find out that fund flows arenot driven by...

An equivalent !-martingale measure (E!MM) for a given stochastic process Sis a probability measure R equivalent to the original measure P such that S isan R-!-martingale. Existence of an E!MM is equivalent to a classical absenceof-arbitrage property of S, and is invariant if we replace the...

The forward measure in the discrete time Ho/Lee model is derived and passages to the continuous time limit are carried out under this measure. In particular the continuous time valuation formula for call options on zero coupon bonds is obtained as a limit of its discrete time equivalent as well...

This paper develops a liquidity measure tailored to the foreign exchange (FX) market, quanties the amount of commonality in liquidity across dierent exchange rates, and determines theextent of liquidity risk premiums embedded in FX returns. The new liquidity measure utilizesultra high frequency...

In this paper, we identify and document the empirical characteristics of the key drivers ofconvertible arbitrage as a strategy and how they impact the performance of convertible arbitragehedge funds. We show that the returns of a buy-and-hedge strategy involving taking a longposition in...

The use of technical analysis by financial market professionals is not well understood. Thispaper thus analyzes survey evidence from 692 fund managers in five countries, the vast majorityof whom rely on technical analysis. At a forecasting horizon of weeks, technical analysis isthe most...

This paper analyzes the relation between correlation risk and the cross-section of hedge fund returns.Legal framework and investment mandate imply that hedge funds can be severely exposed tocorrelation risk: Hedge funds ability to enter long-short positions can be useful to reduce marketbeta,...

This paper examines the puzzlingly high unexploited momentum returns from a new perspective.We analyze characteristics of momentum traders in a sample of 692 fund managers. Wefind that momentum traders are “defined” by their short-term horizon, by a behavioural viewon the market and by a...