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forecast future leverage ratios and include them in the setof default risk drivers. The analysis is done with a discrete …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008939779
This paper develops a model of corporate investment and financing decisions thatdiffers from previous contributions by recognizing that firms face uncertainty regardingtheir future access to credit markets and may have to search for creditors when raisingdebt financing. We show that accounting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009305075
fixed debt plan;•A yield spread on debt which is fair compensation for default risk;•The part of the yield spread which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009354137
The paper investigates the determinants of trade credit and its interactions with borrowing constraints and the input combination of the firm, within an incomplete contract setting in which firms use a two-input technology and collateralised credit contracts. Assuming that the supplier is better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858766
This paper develops a quantitative framework for analyzing the impact of macroeconomic conditions on credit risk and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858794
This model adds to the standard neoclassical model of business fluctuations by introducing a more realistic capital structure problem, where firms have to balance the tax benefits of debt with the costs of potential financial distress. Therefore, firms solve a dynamic problem with both an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005859002
Eine große Herausforderung der multivariablen Analyse mit bilanziellen Kennzahlen besteht in der Identifikation derjenigen Kennzahlen, die zur besten Modellperformance führen und dabei möglichst leicht interpretierbar und intuitiv bleiben. Die Menge der in Frage kommenden Kennzahlen ist in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860838
Die Prognose der Insolvenzgefährdung von Unternehmen anhand statistischer Methodik war und ist eine bedeutende Aufgabe empirischer Forschung. Eine Möglichkeit der Beurteilung der finanziellen bzw. wirtschaftlichen Verfassung von Unternehmen stellt die sog. externe Bilanzanalyse anhand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860996
inventories. Based on the performance measures, the SVMtool can predict a firms default risk and identify the insolvent firm more …-Watson estimator, the expected returnspredicted by the SVM for regression have a significant positive linearrelationship with the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005861245
The trade-off theory on capital structure is tested by modelling the capital structure target asthe solution to a maximization problem. This solution maps asset volatility and loss givendefault to optimal leverage. By applying nonlinear structural equation modelling, theseunobservable variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005862430