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Inflation rates in a number of OECD follow a common trend over the past four decades: inflation starts out low in the … in the behavior of trend inflation suggests that any explanation of long run inflation trends ought to apply across OECD …-varying NAIRU, can explain long run trends in U.S. inflation. In this paper we show that this result cannot serve as an explanation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009360915
Recent work on U.S. data calls into question the ability of simple Phillips curvemodels to forecast inflation. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009360845
We study the empirical behaviour of semi-parametric log-periodogram estimation forlong memory models when the true process exhibits a change in persistence. Simulationresults confirm theoretical arguments which suggest that evidence for long memory islikely to be found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009302607
We propose a simple but effective estimation procedure to extract the level and the volatilitydynamics of a latent macroeconomic factor from a panel of observable indicators. Our approachis based on a multivariate conditionally heteroskedastic exact factor model that cantake into account the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009305116
We show that the power of the KPSS-test against inte-gration, as measured by divergence rates of the test statistic underthe alternative, remains the same when residuals from an OLS-regression rather than true observations are used.[...]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005867590
inflation. We find that these forecasts do not contain the intended information.Rather, they either have no information content …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866177
bestimmten Voraussetzungen sogar zu einem Anstieg der Inflationsrate in den G7 Ländern führen kann. Die aufgezeigten Ergebnisse … examine the relevance of the cost channel for inflation dynamics in G7 countries. Since firms’ costs of working capital … inflation responses to monetary policy shocks, and can even lead to inverse inflation responses, when the cost channel is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005854268
looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in … marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force to observed inflation dynamics. This is not always the case in … conditions under which imposing homogeneity results in overestimating a backward-looking component in (aggregate) inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858242
result is that the model is able to generatepersistent responses in output, inflation, and total labor input to both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008845687
This paper investigates the relationship between inflation uncertainty and the investmentdecisions of small, micro ……finance-funded …firms in the Dominican Republic. An extensive literature documents the array of opposing factors linking inflation … other forms of systemicrisk and aggregate economic activity, suggesting inflation uncertainty creates potentially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008860680