The output multiplier turns negative before a deficit spending program expires.We show the generality of this unpleasant finding for the standard real business cyclemodel. We then calibrate an extended model for the US and demonstrate how fiscalstimulus slows down economic recovery from...

Endogenous growth models, such as Barro (1990), predict that governmentexpenditure and taxation will have both temporary and permanent effects on growth.We test this prediction using panels of annual and period-averaged data for OECDcountries during 1970-95, isolating long-run from short-run...

This paper investigates whether the presence of ambitious entrepreneurs is a more important determinant of national economic growth than entrepreneurial activity in general. We use data from the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor to test the extent to which high growth ambitions of entrepreneurs...

Entrepreneurial activity is generally assumed to be an important aspect of the organization of industries most conducive to innovative activity and unrestrained competition. This paper investigates whether total entrepreneurial activity influences GDP growth for a sample of 36 countries. We test...

The long-run evolution of per-capita income exhibits a structural breakoften associated with the Industrial Revolution. We follow Mokyr (2002) and embedthe idea that this structural break reflects a regime switch in the evolution of technologicalknowledge into a dynamic framework, using Airy...

This paper introduces a democratic voting process into an OLG economyin order to analyze the effects of a rising old-age dependency ratio on the composition ofgovernment spending and endogenous economic growth. Forward-looking agents vote eachperiod on the public policy mix between productive...

This paper examines whether the evidence from OECD countries is consistent withthe predictions of endogenous growth models that the structure of taxation and publicexpenditure can affect the steady-state growth rate. We find strong support for theBarro (1990) public policy endogenous growth...

This paper analyses the effects of discretionary fiscal policy by presenting new empiricalevidence for Germany within a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) framework. FollowingBlanchard and Perotti (2002), the SVAR model is identified by applying institutionalinformation. We find no...

This paper uses an overlapping generations model with international labor mobility and apolitically responsive fiscal policy to examine aging in developed and developing regions.Migrant workers change the political structure composed of young and elderly voters in bothlabor-receiving and...

The German Income Tax Reform 2000, which announced a reduction in income tax rates to beimplemented in a series of three stages, was welcomed by the public as a step towards unleashinglurking growth potentials. Nonetheless, in the course of the year 2001 a dispute arose, centeringaround the...