A great proportion of stock dynamics can be explained using publicly availableinformation. The relationship between dynamics and public information may be ofnonlinear character. In this paper we offer an approach to stock picking by employing so-called decision trees and applying them to XETRA...

This paper outlines why program evaluation should follow well-respected scientific standards and why it should be performed by independent researchers.

This book is the third volume of the Handbook of Computational Statisticsand covers the field of Data Visualization. In line with the companion volumes,it contains a collection of chapters by experts in the field to present readerswith an up-to-date and comprehensive overview of the state of the...

The present paper analyses a broad range of one- and multifactor models of the term structure of interest rates. We assess the influence of the number of factors, mean reversion, and the factor probability distributions on the term structure shapes the models generate, and use spread options as...

In this paper we revisit an economic model of Buhlmann (ASTIN Bulletin, 1980) and derive equilibrium pricing transforms. We show that the Esscher Transform and the Wang Transform exhibit very different behaviors when used in pricing insurance risks.

In this paper we study Binomial Models with random time steps. We explain, how calculating values for European and American Call and Put options is straightforward for the Random-Time Binomial Model. We present the conditions to ensure weak-convergence to the Black-Scholes setup and convergence...

This paper explores the statistical properties of household consumption-expenditurebudget share distributions —defined as the share of household total expenditure spentfor purchasing a specific category of commodities— for a large sample of Italianhouseholds in the period 1989-2004. We find...

We study how the framework of classical game theory changes whenthe preferences of the players are described by Prospect Theory (PT)and Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) instead of Expected UtilityTheory. Specically, we study the inuence of framing eects and probabilityweighting on the existence...

Vorliegendes Arbeitspapier beschäftigt sich mit der mathematischen Modellierung von Marktrisiken.

Filtrations have been introduced by Doob and have been a fundamentalfeature of the theory of stochastic processes. Most basic objects, such asmartingales, semimartingales, stopping times or Markov processes involvethe notion of filtration.[...]