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The paper analyzes the sources of exchange rate movements in emerging economies in the context of monetary tapering by the Federal Reserve. A structural vector autoregression framework with a long-run restriction is used to decompose the movements of nominal ex-change rates into two components:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374055
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283014
economies, we find that the main driver of consumer price inflation is the global demand shock. A negative global demand shock … pass-through following this shock is of opposite sign to what is usually expected. Finally, exogenous shocks to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176017
that ERPT changes with the kind of shock and the monetary policy response to it. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012020009
We investigate the relationship between inflation uncertainty and monetary policy transmission in the U.S. economy … through the external finance premium and the term structure of interest rates appears strongly dependent on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931106
. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
The pass-through from exchange rate changes to inflation differs depending on the underlying shock. This paper … exchange rate following a certain exogenous shock, with a structural econometric approach using data for Sweden, a small … shock is rather small. Importantly, this shock is not the most important driver of exchange rate fluctuations, unlike what …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806006
We disentangle the effects of monetary policy announcements on real economic variables into an interest rate shock … component and a central bank information shock component. We identify both components using changes in interest rate futures and … that a contractionary interest rate shock appreciates the dollar, increases the excess bond premium, and leads to a decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295246
The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180641
findings survive three identification strategies and across subsamples. Then, they are rationalized via the estimation of a two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515460