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Modellgestützte Analyse der ökologischen Steuerreform mit LEAN, PANTA RHEI und dem Potsdamer Mikrosimulationsmodell
Praetorius, Barbara; Meyer, Bernd; Kohlhaas, Michael; … - 2001
Eine erste systematische, modellgestützte Untersuchung der ökologischen Steuerreform in Deutschland kommt zu moderaten bis positiven Effekten auf Wirtschaftswachstum, Beschäftigung, Energieverbrauch und CO2-Emissionen. Für die Analyse wurden zwei gesamtwirtschaftliche Modelle - ein...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260765
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Dynamic Spatial Modelling of Regional Convergence Processes
Lauridsen, Jørgen; Kosfeld, Reinhold - 2004
Econometric analysis of convergence processes across countries or regions usually refers to a transition period between an arbitrary chosen starting year and a fictitious steady state. Panel unit root tests and panel cointegration techniques have proved to belong to powerful econometric tools if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295394
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Core inflation rates: a comparison of methods based on west German data
Landau, Bettina - 2000
procedure: statistical methods and methods based on economic theory. The latter include a new procedure which is based on the P …. Statistical core inflation rates perform relatively well, while core rates based on economic theory suffer, in particular, from a … der Basis der ökonomischen Theorie. Im Rahmen der letzteren wird auch ein neues Verfahren vorgestellt, das auf dem P …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295692
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What's Spurious, What's Real? Measuring the Productivity Impacts of ICT at the Firm-Level
Hempell, Thomas - 2002
In order to assess the productivity effects of information and communication technologies (ICT), regressions based on cross?sectional firm?level data may yield unreliable results for the commonly employed production function framework. In this paper, various estimation biases and econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297959
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Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP
Kuzin, Vladimir N.; Marcellino, Massimiliano; … - 2009
This paper discusses pooling versus model selection for now- and forecasting in the presence of model uncertainty with large, unbalanced datasets. Empirically, unbalanced data is pervasive in economics and typically due to different sampling frequencies and publication delays. Two model classes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298750
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Ökonometrische Schätzung eines Frühindikators der Konjunkturentwicklung
Bandholz, Harm; Funke, Michael - In: Wirtschaftsdienst 82 (2002) 12, pp. 757-760
Frühindikatoren sind ein wichtiges Hilfsmittel für die Konjunkturdiagnose und für das Erkennen von Wendepunkten. Derzeit werden häufig Indikatoren verwendet, die aus Umfrageergebnissen abgeleitet werden. Der hier vorgestellte Frühindikator basiert dagegen auf einem multivariaten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302416
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An econometric decision model for equalizing regional unemployment in West and East Germany
Tangian, Andranik S. - 2003
Reducing disparities among regions within European countries is the aim of European and national structural policies. In particular, a European grant contributes to the German governmental program for equalizing regional unemployment. The goal is to bring it down to the national average by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306784
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Identification and Estimation of Economic Models of Outmigration Using Panel Attrition
Bellemare, Charles - 2004
Because their departures are difficultly observed, little is known about the performance of immigrants who leave a region and move to another. This paper shows conditions under which the (conditional) outmigration probability, work probability and the expected earnings of outmigrants are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261828
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Methoden der Schätzung des gesamtwirtschaftlichen Produktionspotentials und der Produktionslücke
Weyerstraß, Klaus - 2001
und Verfahren, die explizit die ökonomische Theorie berücksichtigen. Hier ist insbesondere der Produktionsfunktions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316332
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Monitoring structural change in dynamic econometric models
Zeileis, Achim; Leisch, Friedrich; Kleiber, Christian; … - 2002
The classical approach to testing for structural change employs retrospective tests using a historical data set of a given length. Here we consider a wide array of fluctuation-type tests in a monitoring situation – given a history period for which a regression relationship is known to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316441