In dieser Arbeit setzen wir uns mit den Auswirkungen von Risikobeschränkungen auf das optimale Verhalten eines Investors auseinander, welcher versucht, den erwarteten Endnutzen zu einem festgelegten Zeitpunkt zu maximieren. Dazu kann er ein vorgegebenes Anfangsvermögen in einem Markt...

In this paper, we develop modeling tools to forecast Value-at-Risk and volatility with investment horizons of less than one day. We quantify the market risk based on the study at a 30-min time horizon using modified GARCH models. The evaluation of intraday market risk can be useful to market...

In this paper we analyze the relative performance of 13 VaR models using daily returns of WTI, Brent, natural gas and heating oil one-month futures contracts. After obtaining VaR estimates we evaluate the statistical significance of the differences in performance of the analyzed VaR models. We...

The implementation of appropriate statistical techniques for monitoring conditional VaR models, i.e, backtesting, reported by institutions is fundamental to determine their exposure to market risk. Backtesting techniques are important since the severity of the departures of the VaR model from...

Seeing the firm as a nexus of activities and projects, we propose a characterization of the firm where variations in the market price of risk should induce adjustments in the firm's portfolio of projects. In a setting where managers disagree with respect to what investment maximizes value,...

This paper aims to determine if during the recent European financial crisis European markets are efficient in the weak form, as well to introduce an approach to properly predict daily risk of portfolios composed by these market assets, considering their dependence structure. We use daily data...

This work investigates the performance of different models of value at risk. We include several methods (parametric, historical simulation, Monte Carlo, and extreme value theory) and some models to compute the conditional variance. We analyze several international stock indexes and examine two...

This article explores the relationships between several forecasts for the volatility built from multi-scale linear ARCH processes, and linear market models for the forward variance. This shows that the structures of the forecast equations are identical, but with different dependencies on the...

A strategically minded CFO will realize that strategic corporate risk management is about finding the right balance between risk prevention and proactive value generation. Efficient risk and performance management requires adequate assessment of risk and risk exposures on the one hand and...

One of the implications of the creation of Basel Committee on Banking Supervision was the implementation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) as the standard tool for measuring market risk. Since then, the capital requirements of commercial banks with trading activities are based on VaR estimates. Therefore,...