En este estudio se propone un análisis econométrico de la evolución del crédito bancario al sector privado con el objetivo de describir los ciclos de crédito e identificar, por ejemplo, las fases de crecimiento anormalmente bajo, como las que suelen asociarse con episodios de crisis...

This paper investigates the relative cyclical behavior of the pay of piece workers and hourly paid workers. It uses a unique data set of blue-collar workers in British engineering between 1926 and 1966. The statistics are obtained from the payrolls of firms belonging to the Engineering Employers...

This dissertation empirically investigates macroeconomic fluctuations.In the first chapter, I study nontechnology shocks. It is popular to identify technology shocks as shocks permanently affecting labor productivity in SVAR. However it potentially misidentifies nontechnology shocks permanently...

Šiame darbe yra tiriamas finansų rinkų likvidumo poveikis verslo ciklams Baltijos regione. Kadangi kapitalo rinkų likvidumas yra pralenkiantis ekonomiką veiksnys išsivysčiusiuose regionuose, darbe yra siekiama nustatyti, ar Nasdaq OMX Baltic akcijų rinkų likvidumo rodikliai turi...

Baigiamojo darbo tikslas - identifikavus egzistuojančių ekonomikos ciklo posūkio taškų prognozavimo metodų silpnybes bei nustačius metodų tobulinimo kryptis, pateikti metodą, kuris bet dalinai pašalintų įvardintus trūkumus ir jį patikrinti. Teorinės darbo dalies tikslas –...

Business cycle is one of the main concept describing an economy and its dynamics. As a young free-market economy Lithuania is also under effect of this phenomenon. Therefore, some consequent uncertainty occurs which market players have to deal with. The main objective of this paperwork is to...

There are several mechanisms that can account for short-run business cycle transmission. International trade is probably the major vehicle, and it forms a direct channel through which income and price shocks may be transmitted. Capital flows provide a second mechanism which is most likely to be...

Durland and McCurdy [Durland, J.M., McCurdy, T.H., 1994. Duration-dependent transitions in a Markov model of US GNP growth. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 12, 279?288] investigated the issue of duration dependence in US business cycle phases using a Markov regime-switching approach,...

It is often suggested that non-linear models are needed to capture business cycle features. In this paper, we subject this view to some critical analysis. We examine two types of non-linear models designed to capture the bounce-back effect in US expansions. This means that these non-linear...