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Forecasting the short end of the term structure of interest rates
Graham, Austin - 2010
Master of Arts
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009463981
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The Possible Role of Futures Market and the Public Warehousing in Trade-financing Activity
Kozar, Laszlo - 2010
The principal achievement of this paper is to introduce the operation of a specified‘Futures’ model and it’s practice for decision-makers of financial institutes through anexample based on the price data’s of grain futures market from EU assessment 2004 to thesedays in Hungary.Based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442743
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StarLink: Impacts on the U.S. Corn Market and World Trade.
Lin, William; Price, Gregory K.; Allen, Edward W. - 2003
StarLink disrupted the U.S. corn market during the 2000/01 marketing year as a result of inadvertent commingling. The potential, upper-bound volume of marketed StarLink-commingled corn from the 2000 crop located near wet and dry millers prior to October 1, 2000, is estimated at 124 million...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429450
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Profit patterns across American agriculture.
Blank, S.C.; Erickson, K.W.; Moss, C.B. - 2005
investments and sufficient to cover producers' financial obligations. Economic theory says that rates of return converge over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429574
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News Aware Volatility Forecasting: Is the Content of News Important?
Robertson, Calum S.; Geva, Shlomo; Wolff, Rodney C. - 2007
The efficient market hypothesis states that the market incorporates all available information to provide an accurate valuation of the asset at any given time. However, most models for forecasting the return or volatility of assets completely disregard the arrival of asset specific news (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437639
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Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets
Colino, Evelyn V.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2007
indicate,with one exception, no meaningful differences in forecast accuracy between outlook forecastsand futures prices. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443339
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How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market
Colino, Evelyn V.; Irwin, Scott H.; Garcia, Philip - 2008
flexibility and model averaging consistently outperform Iowa outlook estimates at all forecast horizons. Evidence from the … encompassing tests, which are highly stringent tests of forecast performance, indicates that many price forecasts do provide … incremental information relative to Iowa. Simple combinations of these models and outlook forecasts are able to reduce forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443351
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ANALYSIS OF THE 2002 FARM BILL AND NEW FARM BILL ALTERNATIVES
Taylor, Richard D.; Koo, Won W. - 2006
This report evaluates the 2002 farm bill and the effects of the individual programs within the bill on North Dakota net farm income. A stochastic simulation model was developed, using @Risk by Palisade. @Risk replaces the mean values for price and yield with a distribution of values for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443998
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MODELOS DE SÉRIES TEMPORAIS APLICADOS À SÉRIE DOS ÍNDICES DE PREÇOS AO CONSUMIDOR NA REGIÃO DE LAVRAS, MG, NO PERÍODO DE 1992 A 1999
Silva, Roberta Bessa Veloso; Ferreira, Daniel Furtado; … - 2000
a modelfeaturing an intervention for a better model adjustment and forecast. The parameters of the model whichfeatured … in the forecast of PIC from May to December, 1999.To Brasília, the model fitted was an AR (2) with a permanent gradual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445618
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An Analysis of Global Timber Markets
Sohngen, Brent; Mendelsohn, Robert; Sedjo, Roger A.; … - 1997
This paper presents a model of global timber markets that captures the evolution of a broad array of forest resources and timber market margins over time. These margins include the inaccessible northern and tropical margins, plantation establishment, and timberland management. A baseline case is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446261