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ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Now more than ever, organisations need to be resilient and sustainable. The world of business haschanged irrevocably since the industrial age and organisational strategies have not adapted much inresponse to this environmental change. Are there new organisational strategies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442239
The efficient market hypothesis states that the market incorporates all available information to provide an accurate valuation of the asset at any given time. However, most models for forecasting the return or volatility of assets completely disregard the arrival of asset specific news (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437639
indicate,with one exception, no meaningful differences in forecast accuracy between outlook forecastsand futures prices. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443339
flexibility and model averaging consistently outperform Iowa outlook estimates at all forecast horizons. Evidence from the … encompassing tests, which are highly stringent tests of forecast performance, indicates that many price forecasts do provide … incremental information relative to Iowa. Simple combinations of these models and outlook forecasts are able to reduce forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443351
This report evaluates the 2002 farm bill and the effects of the individual programs within the bill on North Dakota net farm income. A stochastic simulation model was developed, using @Risk by Palisade. @Risk replaces the mean values for price and yield with a distribution of values for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443998
a modelfeaturing an intervention for a better model adjustment and forecast. The parameters of the model whichfeatured … in the forecast of PIC from May to December, 1999.To Brasília, the model fitted was an AR (2) with a permanent gradual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445618
This paper presents a model of global timber markets that captures the evolution of a broad array of forest resources and timber market margins over time. These margins include the inaccessible northern and tropical margins, plantation establishment, and timberland management. A baseline case is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446261
high capacity of forecast of the model structuralized for the development of the study. Admitting the forecasted values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446498
earnings forecast precision, accuracy, and bias (downward versusupward).Results of the study are mixed. Regarding forecast … negatively related to management earnings forecast precision. This was theexpected relationship. Regarding forecast accuracy … segments a firm discloses. Regarding forecast bias, unexpectedly, twomeasures of multinationality (foreign sales / total sales …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009464797
parameters using well grouping, the methodology establishes a probabilistic forecast for individual wells.We present a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465136