The techniques of probabilistic population forecasting are increasingly being recognised as a profitable means of overcoming many of the limitations of conventional deterministic variant population forecasts. This paper applies these techniques to present the first comprehensive set of...

The variability of demographic trends at the subnational scale, particularly internal and international migration, renders subnational population forecasting more difficult than at the national scale. Illustrating the uncertainty of the demographic future for subnational regions is therefore a...

This paper reports on the application of a probabilistic forecasting framework to Statistics New Zealand’s 2004-based national population projections. The assumptions of the Series 5 projections (the middle series)were set as the medians of the fertility, mortality and net migration predictive...

Thesis (PhD)--University of South Australia, 2009

A demographic development of advanced countries is characterized by worsening of the age structure and population aging. Similar trends show themselves also in the Czech and Slovak Republics. Owing to political and economic changes in both the states, there were also changes in a population...

The paper is focused on evaluation of the demographic development in the relationship to size of municipality area. As basic dynamic demographic indicators were analysed: live births, deaths, marriages, divorces, net migration, natural increase, total increase. Appreciation of basic development...

Die dritte Alfred-Weber-Lecture des Instituts für Wirtschaftswissenschaften der Universität Heidelberg hielt Prof. Dr. Meinhard Miegel zum Thema "Ökonomische und politische Konsequenzen des demographischen Wandels".Am Dienstag, den 13. Januar 2009, fand in der Alten Aula der...

�Bevölkerungsentwicklung, Arbeitsmarkt und Rentenversicherung in Argentinien und Chile.� Die vorliegende Dissertation beschäftigt sich an den Beispielen von Argentinien und Chile mit den Auswirkungen sich ändernder Alters- und Arbeitsmarktstrukturen in Entwicklungsländern auf die...

Die Dissertation untersucht die regionalen Fertilitätsunterschiede zwischen den politischen Bezirken Österreichs für das Jahr 2001 und 2007. Hierbei stellt sich u.a. die Frage, ob diese Unterschiede sich eher durch regionale Besonderheiten oder durch individuelle Merkmale ergeben. Auf...