The techniques of probabilistic population forecasting are increasingly being recognised as a profitable means of overcoming many of the limitations of conventional deterministic variant population forecasts. This paper applies these techniques to present the first comprehensive set of...

The variability of demographic trends at the subnational scale, particularly internal and international migration, renders subnational population forecasting more difficult than at the national scale. Illustrating the uncertainty of the demographic future for subnational regions is therefore a...

This paper reports on the application of a probabilistic forecasting framework to Statistics New Zealand’s 2004-based national population projections. The assumptions of the Series 5 projections (the middle series)were set as the medians of the fertility, mortality and net migration predictive...

Thesis (PhD)--University of South Australia, 2009

This article assesses the empirical relationship between per capita income growth fluctuations and the age-structured human capital variations across four groups of geographically clustered developed and developing countries from spatial perspective. We estimate a spatial Vector Autoregressive...

With respect to the prepared accession of the Czech Republic into the EU it is necessary to identify oneself with trends and rules of the EU in the field of rural development. The new demarcation of regions (of rural districts in the Czech republic) in harmony with the common methodology of OECD...

In regions there is demonstrated the different extent of the adaptability to new market conditions, and, therefore, it is necessary to identify those problem regions, to consider carefully and to evaluate their potential for the needful structural and social changes. It is, proceeded from the...

A demographic development of advanced countries is characterized by worsening of the age structure and population aging. Similar trends show themselves also in the Czech and Slovak Republics. Owing to political and economic changes in both the states, there were also changes in a population...

The paper is focused on evaluation of the demographic development in the relationship to size of municipality area. As basic dynamic demographic indicators were analysed: live births, deaths, marriages, divorces, net migration, natural increase, total increase. Appreciation of basic development...