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The banking and currency crises of the last two decades inflictedsubstantial financial, economic, and social damage on thecountries in which they originated. In this work, the efficiencyof early warning indicators for these disastrous economic eventsis evaluated. An analysis of the traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471830
Die Dissertation beschreibt und systematisiert verschiedene Krisenbegriffe sowie den Begriff des Ansteckungseffekts. Es wird ein Literaturüberblick gegeben über theoretische und empirische Studien zu Ansteckungseffekten auf Finanzmärkten. Ein theoretisches Modell beschreibt einen denkbaren...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475333
The approach is based on the finding that new generations of currency crises theories always had developed ex post after popular currency crises. Discussing the main theories of currency crises shows their disparity: The First Generation of currency crises models argues based on the assumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433694
The potential accession of Turkey to the EU, and the related adoption of the CAP by Turkey,is expected to influence … agricultural markets in both the EU and Turkey. The extent of theaccession impacts depends on the one hand on the way the CAP will …-membership simulation show that the impacts on agriculturalmarkets in Turkey are significant, while effects on EU markets are rather limited …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446181
Ziel dieser Arbeit ist es, Erklärungen für die im Vergleich zu Industriestaaten oft deutlich schwerer wiegenden Währungskrisen in Emerging Market Economies zu finden. Damit verbunden ist die Frage nach den Determinanten des Krisenausmaßes. Dazu wird zunächst ein detailierter Überblick...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009448912
This paper argues that the recen Southeast Asian currency crisis was caused by large prospective deficits associated with implicit bailout guarantees to failing banking systems. We articulate this view using a simple dynamic general equilibrium model whose key feature is that a speculativ attack...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475593
This thesis analyzes certain aspects of the current account balance and its relationship to economic growth. Employing recently developed statistical and econometric techniques for estimation of non linear models, crises phenomena connected to the balance of payments are focused. The analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428990
Economics
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009432011
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the contagious currency crisis, which is characterized by regional nature. As the changing of the economic circumstances in one country does affect on the other country’s economy, it is important to analyze some direct and indirect effects. The currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064039
After the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, developing countries, including Georgia, experienced several currency crises followed by severe recessions and deteriorated macroeconomic stability. This creates incentives for policymakers to predict currency crises in a timely manner, and avoid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012522059