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Ekonometrinis Baltijos šalių ūkio prognozavimas
Tichomirovas, Artūras - 2011
Baigiamajame magistro darbe nagrinėjami pagrindiniai Baltijos šalių – Lietuvos, Latvijos ir Estijos makroekonominiai rodikliai. Aprašytos Baltijos šalių ūkio dinamikos ir raidos tendencijos. Atlikta pirminė statistinių duomenų analizė, kurios metu nustatyti pagrindinių Baltijos...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009478414
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Risk management in the German electricity market : the case of power-trading utility companies
Wittenberg, Stefan - 2010
structured measuring and evaluation. Based on adequate models to forecast volatile electricity prices a single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009461027
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America's First Great Moderation
Shaffer, Ryan - 2011
This paper identifies America's first Great Moderation, a period from 1841-1856 of unbroken economic expansion and low volatility comparable to the Great Moderation of the 1980s-2000s. This moderation occurred despite a lack of central banks, low governmental spending, and barriers to interstate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009468758
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Essays in Empirical Finance: Evaluating Risk in FinancialMarkets
Shcherbakova, Alysa - 2009
Essays in Empirical Finance: Evaluating Risk in FinancialMarketsBy Alysa V. ShcherbakovaThis dissertation is comprised of two parts, each addressing animportant type of financial risk. The first part is composed of anessay discussing Market Risk. This essay examines a causalrelationship between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009480854
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The EURIBOR surge and bank deposit costs: an investigation of interest rate pass-through and deposit portfolio rebalancing
Ferrer Pérez, Alex; Ganics, Gergely; Molina Iserte, Ana; …
Artículo de revista ; Against the backdrop of sharp monetary policy tightening, this article studies the links between bank deposit costs and the EURIBOR. In doing so the authors employ an SVAR multivariate model that jointly includes deposit rates and volumes, fitted on monthly data covering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442860
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Preispromotionanalysen in Vertriebslinien des Lebensmitteleinzelhandels : dynamische Kategorieeffekte und Einflussfaktoren
Tobias Maria Günter - 2007
Die Analyse der Wirkung von Verkaufsförderungsmaßnahmen auf den Absatz oder Erlös von Konsumgütern gehört zu den mit am meisten erforschten Problemkomplexen in der quantitativen Marketingforschung. Allerdings untersuchen die Mehrzahl der Arbeiten lediglich die kurzfristigen Wirkungen von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428984
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News Aware Volatility Forecasting: Is the Content of News Important?
Robertson, Calum S.; Geva, Shlomo; Wolff, Rodney C. - 2007
The efficient market hypothesis states that the market incorporates all available information to provide an accurate valuation of the asset at any given time. However, most models for forecasting the return or volatility of assets completely disregard the arrival of asset specific news (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437639
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Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets
Colino, Evelyn V.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2007
indicate,with one exception, no meaningful differences in forecast accuracy between outlook forecastsand futures prices. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443339
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How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market
Colino, Evelyn V.; Irwin, Scott H.; Garcia, Philip - 2008
flexibility and model averaging consistently outperform Iowa outlook estimates at all forecast horizons. Evidence from the … encompassing tests, which are highly stringent tests of forecast performance, indicates that many price forecasts do provide … incremental information relative to Iowa. Simple combinations of these models and outlook forecasts are able to reduce forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443351
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ANALYSIS OF THE 2002 FARM BILL AND NEW FARM BILL ALTERNATIVES
Taylor, Richard D.; Koo, Won W. - 2006
This report evaluates the 2002 farm bill and the effects of the individual programs within the bill on North Dakota net farm income. A stochastic simulation model was developed, using @Risk by Palisade. @Risk replaces the mean values for price and yield with a distribution of values for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443998