A methodology is offered which can be used to construct an econometric model in the presence of structural change of an evolutionary type. The theoretical basis for such modelling is drawn from the self-organisation approach and operationalised in the context of the logistic diffusion growth...

The record price development in commodity markets during the economic boom period lasting from early 2000 to mid 2008 highlighted a perceived scarcity particularly in metal markets that contrasted the preceding period beginning in the late 1970s of largely abundant availability and falling real...

The purpose of this paper is to expand the research on momentum strategies in the securities market. Specifically, it examines the momentum anomaly in respect to the commodity futures market, and closely follows recent work as studied by Miffre and Rallis (2007). This study identifies one...

While the low P/E effect has been examined rather extensively in international markets particularly in the US, there is a notable absence of Australian market-based P/E studies. This research examines the relationship between the investment performance of Australian Industrial common stock and...

In recent years a number of market participants called into question the efficiency of the price discoverymechanism in commodity futures markets. They believe that speculators move commodity futures marketsaway from their fundamentals by distorting prices and exacerbating volatility. The smoking...

This thesis will first criticize standard financial theory. The focus will be on return distributions, efficient market hypothesis and the independence of returns. Part two gives the intuition to look at markets in a different view. Namely the one proposed by B. Mandelbrot who has shown that...

In this Master‘s Thesis the Baltic Stock Exchange’s (Lithuanian, Latvian and Estonian) efficiency is valued for the period of 2004-2009. This thesis aims to evaluate the reaction of Baltic stock exchange to quarterly financial statement announcements. To reach this aim the concept of market...

Tyrimo objektas – silpnos formos efektyvumas Baltijos šalių akcijų rinkose.Tyrimo tikslas – įvertinti silpnos formos efektyvumo pasireiškimą Baltijos šalių akcijų rinkose.Tyrimo uždaviniai:1. Atskleisti efektyvios rinkos hipotezės sampratą;2. Apibūdinti efektyvios rinkos formas...

The strong form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) puts forward that it is impossible to achieve better than market results. Yet there are very famous investors, particularly a famous value based investor named Warren Buffett that have achieved better than market returns. The primary...

The academic literature has been reluctant to accept technical analysis as a rational strategy of traders in financial markets. In practice traders and analysts heavily use technical analysis to make investment decisions. To resolve this incongruence the aim of this study is to translate...