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of state revenue from corporate tax and to forecast tax return from corporate income tax for the following year. Research …:• Part 1 presents the impact of state revenue on corporate income tax, econometrical forecast models proposed by scientists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009478759
-separability of the utility function, inflation aversion, nominal transaction frictions). The monograph is organized as follows … market share competition with the assumption that agent?s behavior is characterized by inflation aversion. Chapter IV is … devoted to the GMM estimation of crucial parameters of the inflation-aversion model of the previous chapter. A model featuring …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009482289
the way these expectations are formed. Using a new approach for modeling forecast errors in a structural way, we show that … explain the development of inflation dynamics and the formation process of inflation expectations of households respectively. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429015
The efficient market hypothesis states that the market incorporates all available information to provide an accurate valuation of the asset at any given time. However, most models for forecasting the return or volatility of assets completely disregard the arrival of asset specific news (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437639
indicate,with one exception, no meaningful differences in forecast accuracy between outlook forecastsand futures prices. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443339
flexibility and model averaging consistently outperform Iowa outlook estimates at all forecast horizons. Evidence from the … encompassing tests, which are highly stringent tests of forecast performance, indicates that many price forecasts do provide … incremental information relative to Iowa. Simple combinations of these models and outlook forecasts are able to reduce forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443351
This report evaluates the 2002 farm bill and the effects of the individual programs within the bill on North Dakota net farm income. A stochastic simulation model was developed, using @Risk by Palisade. @Risk replaces the mean values for price and yield with a distribution of values for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443998
a modelfeaturing an intervention for a better model adjustment and forecast. The parameters of the model whichfeatured … in the forecast of PIC from May to December, 1999.To Brasília, the model fitted was an AR (2) with a permanent gradual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445618
This paper presents a model of global timber markets that captures the evolution of a broad array of forest resources and timber market margins over time. These margins include the inaccessible northern and tropical margins, plantation establishment, and timberland management. A baseline case is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446261
high capacity of forecast of the model structuralized for the development of the study. Admitting the forecasted values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446498