Showing 31 - 40 of 507
In this paper we decompose nominal interest rates into real risk-free rates, inflation expectations and risk premia … using an affine model that takes as factors the observed inflation rate and the parameters generated in the zero yield curve … countries currently involved in convergence towards EMU. The evidence indicates that inflation expectations and risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012529952
directly the inflation rate as an additional factor without reducing the forecasting ability of the model. The augmented model … produces an estimation of market expectations about inflation free of liquidity, counterparty and term premia. We provide a … comparison of the properties of this indicator with others usually employed to proxy the inflation expectations, such as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530249
paper explores the behaviour of inflation expectations across countries that share their monetary policy, in particular … liquidity risk component, is proposed and estimated using daily data from inflation swaps for Spain, Italy, France, Germany and …-specific components in the term structure of inflation expectations. We find sizable differences in inflation expectations across the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530529
Colombia y México ; In this paper we estimate inflation expectations for several Latin American countries using an affine model … that takes as factors the observed inflation and the parameters generated from zero-coupon yield curves of nominal bonds …. By implementing this approach, we avoid the use of inflation-linked securities, which are scarce in many of these markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012532144
This paper shows that wage-unemployment elasticities derived from estimated wage curves and Phillips curves may be critically dependent on the measurement of wages. Incorporating hourly wage earnings, that include the influence of overtime payments, can lead to seriously distorted results....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465891
inflation well when the labor income share is used as a driving variable, but fits poorly when deterministically detrended … share version of the new-Keynesian Phillips curve is a very poor model of price inflation. We conclude that there is little …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475720
the model as the key factor in explaining the muted responses of inflation to movements in the output gap witnessed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012525509
Summary of Banco de España Working Paper no. 2106
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012526623
The New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) is now the dominant model of inflation dynamics. In recent years, a large body …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530184
percentage points, with roughly constant inflation. This change has been more pronounced than elsewhere. We argue that this stems … the fall in unemployment since 1995 would have led to an annual increase in inflation of 2.5 percentage points if it had …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530205