We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under ambiguity in continuous time. Using results from (backward) stochastic calculus, we characterize the value function as the smallest (nonlinear) supermartingale dominating the payoff process. For Markovian models, we derive an adjusted...

This paper develops a framework to link the expected utility analysis to real options models in order to capture the joint effects of risk aversion and irreversibility associated with real investments. It aims at modifying the theory of investment under uncertainty by incorporating decision...

Optimal control theory has been extensively used to determine the optimal harvesting policy for renewable resources such as fish stocks. In such optimisations, it is common to maximise the discounted utility of harvesting over time, employing a constant time discount rate. However, evidence from...

An optimising model is developed to determine the .sequence of total allowable catches of western mackerel which would result in the maximum present value of the stream of annual rents. It is found that the optimal steady state fishing mortality would be one half to one third of recent levels....

A multiobjective bioeconomic policy model was developed for the United States Pacific whiting fishery. Pareto-optimal solutions for three policy objectives—rents, production, and female spawning biomass—were developed and analyzed using "hybrid" generating technique. Three policy instruments...

This study involves an update of our earlier Timber Supply Model, which was fully developed in our book, The Adequacy Of Global Timber Supply by Sedjo and Lyon (1990), published by Resources for the Future. The new version, called Timber Supply Model 1996 (TSM96), uses an economic market...

Most terrestrial biological invasions occur in landscapes comprising numerous, independently managed properties. Thus, control of invasion spread generally depends on the choices of many managers, each deciding the extent to control invasions on their property. Here we develop a...

In recent years, government aid agencies and international organizations have increased their financial commitments to controlling and eliminating malaria from the planet. This renewed emphasis on elimination is reminiscent of a previous worldwide campaign to eradicate malaria in the 1960s, a...

This dissertation deals with three problems in health care. In the first, we consider the incentives to change prices and capital levels at hospitals, using optimal control under the assumption that private payers charge higher prices if patients consume more hospital services. The main results...

We study regression models for nonstationary categorical time series and their applications, and address the issues of prediction, estimation and control. Generalized Linear Models and Partial Likelihood are the basic tools in the present study. The models link the probabilities of each category...