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This dissertation contains applications of agent-based financial market models and nonlinear econometric methods in financial economics. The first part deals with the analysis of the effectiveness of currency transaction taxes within financial market models with traders with heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429022
The paper develops an approach for analyzing the dynamics of a nonlinear time series that is represented by a nonparametric estimate of its one-step ahead conditional density. The approach entails examination of conditional moment profiles corresponding to certain shocks; a conditional moment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475493
Uncertainty of returns from marketing is an extremely important factor affecting the diffusion of a wide range of genetically modified (GM) crops worldwide. Biotech companies face complicated choices in making decisions about whether to enter agricultural markets in different countries with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443421
The major objective of this thesis is to investigate whether there exists a stable long run and short run equilibrium relationship between real money balances (M1 or M2) and their determinants in Thailand. A cointegration analysis and the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) are conducted on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009434859
Whether or not currency markets may be regarded as efficient or not has been a hotly debated issue in the academic literature over recent decades. Economic theory would suggest that these markets should be efficient because they are apparently good examples of a perfectly competitive market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437792
Financial processes may possess long memory and their probability densities may display heavy tails. Many models have been developed to deal with this tail behaviour, which reflects the jumps in the sample paths. On the other hand, the presence of long memory, which contradicts the efficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437906
This paper compares the true, ex-ante forecasting performance of a micro-based model against both a standard macro model and a random walk. In contrast to existing literature, which is focused on longer horizon forecasting, we examine forecasting over horizons from one day to one month (the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440722
Nominal exchange rate volatility has been greater than that of "fundamentals" supposed to establish the exchange rates. A major contribution to our understanding of this volatility was given by Rudiger Dornbusch in his 1976 paper "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics", where stickiness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441733
Finding evidence of the theoretical relationship between exchange rate and inflation has been a difficult proposition in an exchange rate market, despite many studies in developed markets. Three recent papers employing a new research design, Theil’s Divisia index method, found that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441758
This paper extends the literature by looking at the contribution of non-parity variables after extracting the impact of parity variables on exchange rates of Australia and the Asia Pacific countries. Exchange rates are examined using high- and low-frequency multi-country panel time series data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441762